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reddit网友评:2032年中国将超美国成全球最大经济体

China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032 as Asian Might Builds

reddit网友评:2032年中国经济将超越美国经济

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英国智库经济与商业研究中心(CEBR)近日在报告指出,中国将在2032年前超越美国,晋身全球第一大经济体。

彭博社报道称,根据CEBR的报告,亚洲主要经济体的重要性在与日俱增,这种状况在明年及之后仍将持续。亚洲经济体的规模将在短短10多年间里大跃进。

2032年以前,全球前4大经济体中将有3大落在亚洲,依次是中国、印度和日本。但印度不会就此止步,CEBR称,印度将在本世纪下半叶夺下第一的宝座。

以美元计价来看,印度明年将超越英国和法国,跻身全球第5大经济体,并将在2027年挤下德国,成为全球第3大经济体。

2032年以前,韩国和印度尼西亚也将双双挤进前10名,取代七大工业国集团(G7)的意大利和加拿大。

【美国社交网站reddit评论】

[–]diacewrb 73 points 18 hours ago
India will overtake France and UK next year.

明年印度会超越法国和英国

[–]Blake_adi 25 points 18 hours ago
But that doesn't mean anything, right?

但那不代表什么,对吧?

 

[–]diacewrb 34 points 18 hours ago
It might give them more bargaining power at the negotiating table for new trade deals once it has been confirmed how much richer they are.
It is amazing to think that 70 years ago how poor India was and now it will be richer than its former colonial power.
I know the UK is desperate for trade deals because of Brexit and this might tip the balance in India's favour.

一旦他们确认了自己的财富值是多少,他们就会在新的贸易协定谈判上拥有更多议价权。

惊讶的是,印度70年前还很穷,现在要比前殖民者更富有了。

我知道英国脱欧,很渴望签署贸易协议,但这会使天平倾向印度。

 

[–]mistrdroogz 17 points 15 hours ago
not that amazing when you consider in the same period what China has accomplished.

如果你参考同一时期中国所取得的成就,就不觉得有啥了不起了。

 译文来源:三泰虎 http://jblasi.com/44007.html

[–]sparky_sparky_boom 4 points 14 hours ago
China's really an outlier though. Do you compare with the average developing nation, or do you compare with China?

中国是个例外,你要和其他发展中国家比,还是和中国比?

 

[–]Evrae_Highwind 43 points 17 hours ago
But when you compare population and country land size. It was only enevitable.
Although regarding trade deals, the goods they sell are completely different, and right now the UK barely imports from India. So it's not as black and white as reading GDP figures.

比较两国人口和国土面积的话,印度超英国就不可避免了。

从外贸来看,英国出口的商品完全不同,现在英国几乎不从印度进口。

 

[–]EuroTreasure 23 points 18 hours ago
GDP is not always a measure of wealth. Denmark has 5 million people and has the same amount of budget revenue as India.
265x the population and the same revenue. Obviously Denmark is getting alot more public services per capita.
Effiency of the economy and the goverment is also important.

GDP不总是财富的衡量标准。丹麦人口500万,和印度的预算收入相当。

印度人口是丹麦人口的265倍,预算相同。很明显丹麦的人均享受的公共服务更多。经济和政服效率也很重要。

 

[–]sinfem 12 points 18 hours ago
in 6 years.. India will be #3.. behind US and China.
2030 projection..i would say China is bit optimistic
China: 26.5
US: 23.4
India: 7.8

6年内,印度将排名第三,仅此美国和中国。
推测2030年……我想说中国有点乐观了。

中国: 26.5
美国: 23.4
印度: 7.8

 

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