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Quora: 到2050年哪个国家会领先,印度还是中国?

Which country - India or China will be ahead by 2050?

到2050年,哪个国家会领先,印度还是中国?

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美版知乎Quora问答

Winston
Answered Nov 3, 2016

Look at the past, present and then predict the future.

In the past, was there any time in history India was prosperous?

In the present, the growth rate of illiteracy, poverty at growth rate of 2@ each year.

Prediction: SUrely, India will maintain the leadership in poverty and illiteracy in the world by years 2050.

译文来源:Quora中文网 http://quora123.com/579.html

看看过去和现在,再预测将来

过去,印度历史上哪个阶段是繁荣的?

现在,看看印度的文盲率,印度的返贫率

预测:到2050年,印度的贫穷率和文盲率肯定会保持领先的

 

Partho Sarothi Paul
Answered Feb 26, 2015
India's economic growth would be higher than China.
But China's GDP(nominal) would be bigger than India.

印度经济增速会高于中国经济增速

但是中国名义GDP会比印度更高

 

Peter Flom, Independent statistical consultant for researchers in social, medical and behavioral sciences
Answered Jan 4, 2015
My view is that China is facing major problems in the coming decades and that it will have a hard time dealing with them all. These include:

1) Pollution
2) Flight of capital
3) Demographic problems as a result of the one-child rule (mainly, there will be a large number of people who are not of working age being supported by a small number of people who are - with "small" being relative to China)
4) Ethnic problems

I don't know much about India but from the little I've read, India seems to have problems 1 and 4 as well.

我的看法是,未来几十年,中国将面临严重问题,日子会不好过。

这些问题包括:

1、污染

2、资本外逃

3、之前独生子女政策导致的人口问题(主要是大量老年人口需要养)

4、民族问题

我对印度了解甚少,印度似乎只存在第1个和第4个问题。

 

Akbar Basha, former Retired Engineer
Answered Wed

Maybe China, because Chinese leaders do not deal with dirty politics, communal hatred, one party pulling the legs the other party etc. Chinese work for the progress of their nation. India surely can overtake Chine and become a winner in 2050, if Indian leaders feel sorry for having burnt & killed thousands of Sikhs, Muslims, Christians, Dalits and whatever bad has happened in the past and divert their attention towards nation building task.

也许中国领先吧

中国人为推动国家进步而努力工作

如果印度领导人为过去数以千计锡克教徒、msl,基督徒和达利特被烧死而道歉,并把人们的注意力转移到国家建设的重任上,那么到2050年印度肯定能超过中国而成为赢家。

 

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